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High-Level Themes: Governor Baker’s Fiscal 2021 Budget

Governor Charlie Baker published his budget recommendation for state fiscal year 2021 on January 22, 2020. The plan, also known as House 2 (H.2), is the sixth budget proposal developed by Gov. Baker...

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Further Analysis: Closing the Gap on Fiscal 2021

This analysis describes the steps taken by the governor to balance the budget compared to MTF’s initial projection of an $880 million gap between revenue and spending in fiscal 2021. It also describes...

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COVID-19 Impact on State Finances Unknown but Significant

BOSTON – On March 10, 2020, Governor Charlie Baker declared a state of emergency in Massachusetts regarding the Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic and has ordered sweeping measures to slow the outbreak.

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COVID-19 Impact: Moving the Tax Filing Deadline

Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker, Senate President Karen Spilka, and Speaker Robert DeLeo announced the corresponding change for the state tax filing deadline on March 27, 2020.The policy change...

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The COVID-19 Pandemic: Where are we; where are we headed?

This preliminary report addresses some of the economic impacts from the most recent data and explores issues that will shape the scale and duration of this global pandemic. While this report is focused...

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What MTF’s Tax Forecast Means for MBTA, MSBA, “Rainy Day” Fund, and Pension...

Today, MTF’s new analysis highlights the implications of our revised forecast on the MBTA, the Massachusetts School Building Authority (MSBA), and other purposes supported by dedicated tax revenue.read...

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COVID-19 Budget Letter

The Commonwealth of Massachusetts faces truly unprecedented times as a result of the COVID-19 global pandemic. While everyone remains focused on the most important task of addressing the public health...

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Updated FY 2021 Tax Revenue Forecast: $6 Billion Loss

FY 2021 tax revenues are projected to fall by $6 billion or 19.3 percent from the January 2020 benchmark. Massive layoffs push the unemployment rate to nearly 22 percent in Q4 FY 2020, causing...

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MTF presentation to the Re-Opening Advisory Board

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Massachusetts Fiscal Challenges Could Last Years

As a guide for determining how long before Massachusetts tax revenues are restored to pre-pandemic levels, we examined past recessions. Following the recessions of 2002 and 2009, it took three years...

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